Movie Chat: 2016 Oscar Predictions

HC - OSCARS

We know that this awards season the only ceremony you are waiting for is the JumpCut UK Film Awards but we thought we’d give the Academy some attention too and try to predict some of the winners in the major categories. So whilst last Movie Chat we looked forward to our ‘Most Anticipated Movies of 2016′this time the lads from JumpCut UK, Jakob & Nick and myself are looking back on the year in film and celebrating the best!


Firstly Jakob gives us his predictions for the ladies.

Support Actress

Nominees: Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) and Rooney Mara (Carol).

The support actress category at this year’s Oscars contains an incredibly strong pack of ladies who all give outstanding performances in their respective films. It will be a tough call for The Academy, but any of these women would deserve the award. Kate Winslet has already won the Golden Globe this year, but I think (and hope) that Rooney Mara gets the gong on February 28th. Arguably a co-lead with Cate Blanchett in ‘Carol’, Mara’s performance is subtle and understated but impeccable throughout.

Prediction: Rooney Mara (Carol)


ladies

Best Lead Actress

Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Carol), Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Charlotte Rampling (45 Years), Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn) and Brie Larson (Room).

For me, this is a two horse race between Brie Larson and Saoirse Ronan, but the sheer emotion and drama behind Larson’s effort in ‘Room’ nudges her just ahead in the race for the Oscar. Her chemistry with the exceptionally talented, young Jacob Tremblay is fascinating to watch, and the pair create an outstanding air of authenticity throughout the film. Larson is the epitome of motherhood, giving a beautiful, stirring performance which has already landed her the Golden Globe for best actress, and she would be more than deserving of the same accolade from The Academy.

Prediction: Brie Larson (Room)


Up next, Nick predicts who the winning men will be this year.

Support Actor

Nominees: Christian Bale (The Big Short), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies) and Sylvester Stallone (Creed).

My love for The Revenant knows no bounds, and whilst I hope Tom Hardy wins this award, it will probably go elsewhere in this decidedly close category. Realistically, it’s a two horse race. Stallone won the Golden Globe and is the clear favourite, but there’s something unshakable about Steven Spielberg and the Oscars, so I’m going to predict that Mark Rylance will take home the award this time round. He’s not on screen for too long, but that’s not proven a problem in the past for the Academy. The Oscars are renowned for the odd upset and this could well be one of them.

Prediction: Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)


men

Best Lead Actor

Nominees: Bryan Cranstan (Trumbo), Matt Damon (The Martian), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) and Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl).

In a year where Steve Jobs flunked a the box office, The Danish Girl fell foul of audiences and critics alike, it seems like there is only one man destined to take the Lead Actor award this year, and it’s the one everyone has been waiting for. Leonardo DiCaprio will win this year’s academy award, make no mistake about it. In a film that (in my opinion) should sweep up a plethora of awards, its main man turns in an absolutely extraordinary performance. Yes he crawls about on the floor a lot, but the range of emotions he displays, the visceral nature of his performance and the commitment to the role he has shown during filming make him an absolute certainty. If this isn’t Leo’s year, I will give up on cinema altogether.

Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)


And finally Hamish predicts the director and film categories.

Best Director

Nominees: Adam McKay (The Big Short), George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road), Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant), Lenny Abrahamson (Room) and Tom McCarthy (Spotlight).

Thanks to UK release dates I’ve still yet to see ‘The Big Short’ or ‘Spotlight’ so I can’t really comment on those, although with a win for Best Picture at the Critic’s Choice awards ‘Spotlight’ can’t be written off. However this category is surely a two horse race between the most recent recipient of the award Alejandro González Iñárritu for ‘The Revenant’ and George Miller for ‘Mad Max: Fury Road’. With such achievements in both films it’s a shame that one of this directors won’t win as they both truly deserve it. Despite the Academy’s surprising 10 nominations for ‘Mad Max: Fury Road’ it’s still hard to imaging it taking home the bigger awards such as Best Director. For those reasons and the fact that Alejandro González Iñárritu was awarded the gong last year I think the Academy are going to make it a very deserved double for him.

Prediction: Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant)


Best Picture

Nominees: The Big Short, Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, The Revenant, Room and Spotlight.

Having seen six of these nominations I think several films can be written off in this category. I don’t see Brooklyn, The Martian or Bridge of Spies taking the award home. Whilst they’ve been popular I don’t think they have enough significant nominations to be real contenders. It would be many film fans dream to see ‘Mad Max: Fury Road’ crowned the best film at this years Oscars but I just don’t see the Academy fulfilling that dream. I think the most likely winner of the award will be ‘The Revenant’, which is the most nominated film at this years awards with a massive 12 nods. This film already has won the Golden Globe for Best Drama Motion Picture. With Leonardo DiCaprio also winning a Globe for his role things are looking good for ‘The Revenant’. However there is one film which can’t be ruled out, a dark horse amongst the favourites surely has to be ‘Room’. Certainly the surprise nomination for Lenny Abrahamson the director of the film is a good sign plus with all the praise for the two central performances ‘Room’ could cause major upset at this years awards, but it wouldn’t actually be upsetting as it’s a fantastic film.

Prediction: The Revenant


Snubs

It wouldn’t be the Oscar’s without some ridiculous omissions from the Academy so we’ve also each picked a snub to discuss and rant about!

Jakob’s biggest snub

Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin (Steve Jobs)

The biggest absence from the nominees list for me, was the name of Aaron Sorkin, for his brilliant, thorough screenplay for the Danny Boyle helmed ‘Steve Jobs’. Sorkin is a master of script writing, and this could arguably be his best effort to date, blending intelligent dialogue with drama and humour. Before the nominees were announced, I was certain that Sorkin would not only be nominated, but would win this award and I’m amazed that he has been overlooked.

Nick’s biggest snub

Director: Ridley Scott (The Martian)

Ridley Scott is one of the biggest names in the directorial world. Whilst his work has split opinions over the years, The Martian was universally well received by audiences and critics. After a few years of directing not a lot to write home about, it was believed that The Martian was his re-entry to the big time, ahead of his next adventure into outer space in the new Alien film in 2017. Maybe that was the issue though. We’ve seen Ridley Scott explore space so many times in his career already, so maybe The Academy was looking for something a bit different from him this time round in order to receive a nomination.

Hamish’s biggest snub

Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)

‘The Hateful Eight’ was one of the most enjoyable movies I have seen in a good while and this was largely due to the screenplay written by Tarantino. I could make a case for Tarantino to have been nominated in the directing category but I had prepared myself for the fact that the Academy wouldn’t agree with me. I can’t excuse the omission of this screenplay though, any time Tarantino creates a film it is an absolute treat. The creativity that he brings to the cinema is something to behold and this is almost always present through his screenplays. The Hateful Eight is no different and it’s a real shame that potentially one of Tarantino’s last screenplays hasn’t been recognised.


Please let us know what you thought of our predictions and tell us who you want to win at this years Oscars!

If you enjoyed this article maybe you would consider voting for JumpCut UK & HCMovieReviews at the UK Blog Awards 2016.

To vote for JumpCut UK click HERE.

To vote for HCMovieReviews click HERE.


 Written and edited by Nick Deal, Jakob Lewis Barnes & Hamish Calvert

Image Credit: Jakob Lewis Barnes

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